
Apartment prices are heading down soon, there’s simply too much supply coming on. Not only in LIC, but citywide – a gaze across the river confirms that the cranes aren’t just in Court Square and Queens Plaza. A good analogy would be the recent drop in crude oil prices. All those drilling rigs cracking open shale, led to a glut. In the latter stages, a lot of cheap debt and high priced equity fueled even more drilling, until it tipped the balance.
We have the same in NYC – a hunt for yield has led investors worldwide to invest here, both by lending money to developers and acting as silent partners on the equity side ((and agreeing to very generous ‘promotes’ to the developers)). So many of the new towers and other projects are being built using Other Peoples Money (OPM), which in the 21st century is the last stage of a real estate bull market. The good news is that the percentage drops from today’s peak apartment prices, will not be nearly as drastic as oil’s.
More importantly, while we expect softness in the rest of the city, sales inventory in LIC [Read more…] about A CHANGE IN DIRECTION – APARTMENT PRICES TO FALL IN 2016




